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2024 United States Senate election in Ohio

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Main article: 2024 United States Senate elections
Not to be confused with 2024 Ohio Senate election.

2024 United States Senate election in Ohio
← 2018 November 5, 2024 2030 →
Turnout69.9% Increase 15.3 pp
 
Nominee Bernie Moreno Sherrod Brown
Party Republican Democratic
Popular vote 2,857,383 2,650,949
Percentage 50.09% 46.47%
Moreno:      40–50%      50–60%      60–70%      70–80%      80–90%      >90%
Brown:      40–50%      50–60%      60–70%      70–80%      80–90%      >90%
U.S. senator before election

Sherrod Brown
Democratic

Elected U.S. senator

Bernie Moreno
Republican

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The 2024 United States Senate election in Ohio was held on November 5, 2024, to elect a member of the United States Senate to represent the state of Ohio. Incumbent Democratic Senator Sherrod Brown ran for re-election to a fourth term, but was defeated by Republican nominee Bernie Moreno.[1][2] Along with Bob Casey Jr. in Pennsylvania and Jon Tester in Montana, Brown was one of three incumbent senators to lose re-election in 2024. Primary elections took place on March 19, 2024.[3]

This race was one of two 2024 U.S. Senate races in which Democratic senators sought re-election in states where Republican Donald Trump won in both the 2016 and 2020 presidential elections (the other being Montana). Brown's re-election was considered essential for Democrats' chances to retain the senate majority in 2024.[4] This was the most expensive U.S. Senate election of 2024, with a record-breaking 483.4 million dollars spent in total.[5][6]

Although Brown outperformed Kamala Harris in the concurrent presidential election, receiving around 2.6% more of the vote, it was still not enough to win. Moreno defeated Brown by 3.62 percentage points, which was a slightly larger margin than expected. This was Brown's second general election loss of his political career. Brown received about 120,000 more votes than Harris, while Moreno received about 320,000 fewer votes than Trump.

Moreno's campaign was aided by Republican nominee Donald Trump's 11.21% margin of victory in Ohio, helping secure an outright majority for Senate Republicans for the first time since 2021, with a net gain of 4 seats in the 2024 elections.

Moreno's swearing in on January 3, 2025 gave Republicans control of both of Ohio's U.S. Senate seats for the first time since 2007. As Ohio's other U.S. senator, JD Vance, was elected Vice President of the United States, Moreno became Ohio's senior senator upon Vance's resignation.

Background

[edit]

After voting for President Barack Obama in both 2008 and 2012, Ohio has trended increasingly Republican in subsequent years and is now considered a red state. Republicans hold all statewide offices in addition to the majority in both chambers of the state legislature. Republicans also have a majority of the state's US House delegation.

Former President Donald Trump won Ohio in 2016 and again in 2020 by 8 points.

Republican JD Vance, now the 2024 Republican vice presidential nominee, defeated Democrat Tim Ryan in the 2022 U.S. Senate election by slightly over 6 points.[7][8]

Brown was first elected in 2006, defeating Senator Mike DeWine (who was subsequently elected governor), and won reelection in 2012 and 2018. If he had been reelected he would have been only the second Ohioan to be elected to the United States Senate four times, the other being John Glenn[9][10][11][12] Brown led most polls for most of the year.[13]

Democratic primary

[edit]

Candidates

[edit]

Nominee

[edit]

Endorsements

[edit]
Sherrod Brown

U.S. senators

Political parties

Organizations

Labor unions

Fundraising

[edit]
Campaign finance reports as of December 31, 2023
Candidate Raised Spent Cash on hand
Sherrod Brown (D) $27,838,244 $14,594,991 $14,614,497
Source: Federal Election Commission[33]

Polling

[edit]
Hypothetical polling

Sherrod Brown vs. Tim Ryan vs. Shontel Brown

Poll source Date(s)
administered 		Sample
size[a] 		Margin
of error 		Sherrod
Brown 		Shontel
Brown 		Tim
Ryan 		Undecided
Ohio Northern University[34] October 16–19, 2023 256 (LV)[b] ± 8.3% 58% 6% 15% 21%
Ohio Northern University[35] July 17–26, 2023 675 (RV) ± 3.7% 59% 7% 17% 17%

Results

[edit]
Democratic primary results[36]
Party Candidate Votes %
Democratic Sherrod Brown (incumbent) 535,305 100.0%
Total votes 535,305 100.0%

Republican primary

[edit]

Candidates

[edit]

Nominee

[edit]

Eliminated in primary

[edit]

Failed to qualify

[edit]
  • Doug Stuart, retired businessman[40][41]

Declined

[edit]

Debates

[edit]
No. Date Host Moderator Link Candidates
Key:
 P  Participant   A  Absent   N  Non-invitee   I  Invitee  W  Withdrawn
Matt Dolan Frank LaRose Bernie Moreno
1 January 22, 2024 FOX 8 Colleen Marshall
Joe Toohey 		FOX 8[49] P P P
2 February 19, 2024 Spectrum News Mike Kallmeyer Spectrum News[50] P P P
3 March 6, 2024 WLWT Sheree Paolello YouTube[51] P P P

Endorsements

[edit]
Matt Dolan

U.S. senators

Governors

State representatives

Local officials

Individuals

Newspapers

Frank LaRose

U.S. representatives

State representatives

Political parties

Organizations

Bernie Moreno

U.S. presidents

U.S. ambassadors

U.S. senators

U.S. representatives

Governors

Statewide officials

Individuals

Political parties

Organizations

Declined to endorse

Statewide officials

Organizations

Fundraising

[edit]
Campaign finance reports as of February 28, 2024
Candidate Raised Spent Cash on hand
Matt Dolan (R) $11,425,814[c] $9,089,493 $2,383,077
Bernie Moreno (R) $9,735,460[d] $7,338,751 $2,396,709
Frank LaRose (R) $2,217,016[e] $1,625,972 $591,043
Source: Federal Election Commission[33]

Polling

[edit]
Poll source Date(s)
administered 		Sample
size[a] 		Margin
of error 		Matt
Dolan 		Frank
LaRose 		Bernie
Moreno 		Other Undecided
Emerson College[92] March 17–18, 2024 450 (LV) ± 4.6% 40% 16% 44% –
Mainstreet Research/
Florida Atlantic University[93] 		March 13–15, 2024 818 (RV) ± 3.4% 31% 19% 29% – 21%
East Carolina University[94] March 8–11, 2024 <1,298 (LV) ± 4.6% 39% 27% 34% –
SurveyUSA[95][A] March 6–11, 2024 533 (LV) ± 3.3% 18% 16% 22% – 44%
Emerson College[96] March 7–10, 2024 443 (LV) ± 2.6% 26% 16% 23% 3% 32%
SurveyUSA[97][B] February 27 – March 3, 2024 568 (LV) ± 4.6% 27% 21% 29% – 23%
Fabrizio, Lee & Associates (R)[98][C] February 25–26, 2024 500 (LV) ± 4.4% 19% 21% 31% – 27%
Emerson College[99] January 23–25, 2024 1844 (RV) ± 2.3% 15% 21% 22% – 42%
McLaughlin & Associates (R)[100][D] December 12–14, 2023 600 (LV) ± 4.0% 16% 18% 22% – 44%
SurveyUSA[101][B] December 8–12, 2023 573 (LV) ± 4.6% 18% 33% 12% 1%[f] 35%
Fabrizio, Lee & Associates (R)[102][C] December 3–5, 2023 600 (LV) ± 4.0% 18% 19% 23% – 40%
co/efficient (R)[103][C] November 18–20, 2023 950 (LV) ± 3.18% 13% 14% 15% – 58%
Emerson College/WJW-TV[104] November 10–13, 2023 468 (LV) ± 4.5% 15% 18% 10% 32%[g] 25%
Data for Progress (D)[105] October 31 – November 2, 2023 294 (LV) ± 6.0% 20% 30% 7% 0%[h] 43%
Ohio Northern University[34] October 16–19, 2023 269 (LV)[i] ± 8.2% 13% 30% 7% 2% 49%
Ohio Northern University[35] July 17–26, 2023 675 (RV) ± 3.7% 18% 32% 7% 1% 43%
Suffolk/USA Today[106] July 9–12, 2023 190 (RV) – 14% 19% 9% – 57%
East Carolina University[107] June 21–24, 2023 405 (RV) ± 4.0% 14% 17% 7% 4% 58%
Causeway Solutions (R)[108][E] May 19–27, 2023 526 (RV) ± 2.5% 11% 24% 6% 17% 42%

Results

[edit]
Results by county:
  Moreno
  •   40–50%
  •   50–60%
  •   60–70%
Vote share of Bernie Moreno (left), Matt Dolan (center), Frank LaRose (right) by counties
Republican primary results[36]
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican Bernie Moreno 557,626 50.48%
Republican Matt Dolan 363,013 32.86%
Republican Frank LaRose 184,111 16.67%
Total votes 1,104,750 100.0%

Libertarian Party

[edit]

Nominee

[edit]

Write-in candidates

[edit]

Declared

[edit]

General election

[edit]

Predictions

[edit]
Source Ranking As of
The Cook Political Report[112] Tossup September 25, 2024
Inside Elections[113] Tossup September 26, 2024
Sabato's Crystal Ball[114] Lean R (flip) November 4, 2024
Decision Desk HQ/The Hill[115] Tossup September 27, 2024
Elections Daily[116] Lean D November 4, 2024
CNalysis[117] Tilt D November 4, 2024
RealClearPolitics[118] Tossup September 28, 2024
Split Ticket[119] Tossup October 23, 2024
538[120] Tossup October 23, 2024

Post-primary endorsements

[edit]
Sherrod Brown (D)

Governors

Individuals

Organizations

Labor unions

Bernie Moreno (R)

Governors

Federal officials

U.S. Senators

Statewide officials

Organizations

Fundraising

[edit]
Campaign finance reports as of October 16, 2024
Candidate Raised Spent Cash on hand
Sherrod Brown (D) $91,399,138 $88,358,633 $4,411,749
Bernie Moreno (R) $24,237,971[j] $21,447,672 $2,636,429
Source: Federal Election Commission[33]

Polling

[edit]

Aggregate polls

Source of poll
aggregation 		Dates
administered 		Dates
updated 		Sherrod
Brown (D) 		Bernie
Moreno (R) 		Undecided
[k] 		Margin
FiveThirtyEight[138] through November 4, 2024 November 4, 2024 47.1% 47.8% 5.1% Moreno +0.7
RealClearPolitics[139] October 23 – November 4, 2024 November 4, 2024 46.3% 48.0% 5.7% Moreno +1.7%
270toWin[140] October 10 – November 4, 2024 November 4, 2024 47.3% 47.0% 5.7% Brown +0.3
TheHill/DDHQ[141] through November 4, 2024 November 4, 2024 46.8% 48.9% 4.3% Moreno +2.1
Average 46.9% 47.9% 5.2% Moreno +1.0
Poll source Date(s)
administered 		Sample
size[a] 		Margin
of error 		Sherrod
Brown (D) 		Bernie
Moreno (R) 		Other Undecided
AtlasIntel[142] November 3–4, 2024 1,022 (LV) ± 3.0% 46% 49% 3%[l] 3%
The Trafalgar Group (R)[143] November 2–4, 2024 1,095 (LV) ± 2.9% 48% 48% 2% 2%
Emerson College[144][F] October 30 – November 2, 2024 900 (LV) ± 3.2% 45% 48% – 6%
48%[m] 52% – –
Morning Consult[145] October 23 – November 1, 2024 1,254 (LV) ± 3.0% 46% 47% – 7%
Miami University[146] October 28–30, 2024 857 (RV) ± 5.0% 48% 46% 3%[n] 2%
The Trafalgar Group (R)[147] October 25–28, 2024 1,127 (LV) ± 2.9% 48% 47% 2% 3%
ActiVote[148] October 14–28, 2024 400 (LV) ± 4.9% 49% 51% – –
J.L. Partners (R)[149] October 22–24, 2024 997 (LV) ± 3.1% 46% 52% 3% –
University of Akron[150] September 12 – October 24, 2024 1,241 (RV) ± 2.8% 46% 44% – 10%
OnMessage Inc. (R)[151][G] October 19–22, 2024 600 (LV) ± 4.0% 47% 49% 3%[o] 3%
Bowling Green State University/YouGov[152] October 10–21, 2024 1,000 (LV) ± 3.6% 47% 45% 1%[p] 7%
ActiVote[153] September 23 – October 20, 2024 400 (LV) ± 4.9% 48% 52% – –
Morning Consult[145] October 6–15, 2024 490 (LV) ± 3.0% 46% 47% 1% 6%
The Washington Post[154] October 3–7, 2024 1,002 (LV) ± 3.5% 48% 47% 1%[q] 3%
1,002 (RV) 48% 47% 1%[r] 4%
Marist College[155] October 3–7, 2024 1,327 (LV) ± 3.2% 50% 48% – 2%
1,511 (RV) ± 3.0% 49% 48% 1%[s] 2%
Bowling Green State University/YouGov[156] September 18–27, 2024 1,000 (LV) ± 3.6% 49% 45% – 6%
New York Times/Siena College[157] September 21–26, 2024 687 (LV) ± 4.2% 47% 43% – 10%
687 (RV) ± 4.1% 46% 41% – 13%
ActiVote[158] August 16 – September 22, 2024 400 (LV) ± 4.9% 49% 51% – –
RMG Research[159][H] September 18–20, 2024 781 (LV) ± 3.5% 46% 48% 5%[t] –
Morning Consult[145] September 9–18, 2024 1,488 (LV) ± 3.0% 46% 44% – 10%
Morning Consult[145] August 30 – September 8, 2024 1,558 (LV) ± 3.0% 46% 43% – 11%
SoCal Strategies (R)[160][I] August 31 – September 1, 2024 600 (LV) – 50% 45% – 5%
Rasmussen Reports (R)[161][J] August 13–17, 2024 1,267 (LV) – 47% 42% – 11%
ActiVote[162] July 20 – August 12, 2024 400 (LV) ± 4.9% 52.5% 47.5% – –
Fabrizio Ward (R)/
Impact Research (D)[163][K] 		July 23–28, 2024 600 (LV) ± 4.0% 46% 42% 1% 11%
Remington Research Group (R)[164][L] June 29 – July 1, 2024 611 (LV) ± 4.0% 50% 44% – 7%
Marist College[165] June 3–6, 2024 1,137 (RV) ± 3.6% 50% 45% 1% 4%
National Public Affairs[166] May 28–29, 2024 801 (LV) ± 3.5% 54% 46% – –
March 19, 2024 Primary elections held
Mainstreet Research/FAU[93] March 13–15, 2024 818 (RV) ± 3.4% 47% 36% – 17%
East Carolina University[94] March 8–11, 2024 1,298 (LV) ± 3.2% 45% 41% 3% 12%
SurveyUSA[95][A] March 6–11, 2024 533 (LV) ± 3.3% 43% 37% – 20%
Emerson College[96] March 7–10, 2024 1,300 (RV) ± 2.6% 39% 34% 6% 21%
Emerson College[99] January 23–25, 2024 1844 (RV) ± 2.3% 39% 37% 5% 18%
Emerson College[104][M] November 10–13, 2023 1,000 (RV) ± 3.0% 42% 32% – 26%
Data for Progress (D)[105] October 31 – November 2, 2023 597 (LV) ± 4.0% 47% 44% – 9%
Ohio Northern University[34] October 16–19, 2023 668 (RV) ± 3.8% 48% 26% 1% 25%
Emerson College[167] October 1–3, 2023 438 (RV) ± 4.5% 35% 33% – 32%
Ohio Northern University[35] July 17–26, 2023 675 (RV) ± 3.7% 45% 28% 0% 27%
Suffolk University[106] July 9–12, 2023 500 (LV) ± 4.4% 48% 41% – 10%
East Carolina University[107] June 21–24, 2023 805 (RV) ± 4.0% 46% 42% 2% 11%
Hypothetical polling

Sherrod Brown vs. Matt Dolan

Poll source Date(s)
administered 		Sample
size[a] 		Margin
of error 		Sherrod
Brown (D) 		Matt
Dolan (R) 		Other Undecided
Mainstreet Research/FAU[93] March 13–15, 2024 818 (RV) ± 3.4% 45% 41% – 14%
East Carolina University[94] March 8–11, 2024 1,298 (LV) ± 3.2% 41% 43% 4% 12%
SurveyUSA[95][A] March 6–11, 2024 533 (LV) ± 3.3% 42% 39% – 18%
Emerson College[96] March 7–10, 2024 1,300 (RV) ± 2.6% 37% 34% 7% 22%
Emerson College[99] January 23–25, 2024 1844 (RV) ± 2.3% 38% 37% 5% 20%
Emerson/WJW-TV[104] November 10–13, 2023 1,000 (RV) ± 3.0% 41% 38% – 22%
Data for Progress (D)[105] October 31 – November 2, 2023 597 (LV) ± 4.0% 47% 46% – 7%
Ohio Northern University[34] October 16–19, 2023 668 (RV) ± 3.8% 45% 30% 0% 25%
Emerson College[167] October 1–3, 2023 438 (RV) ± 4.5% 36% 38% – 26%
Ohio Northern University[35] July 17–26, 2023 675 (RV) ± 3.7% 45% 33% 0% 22%
Suffolk University[106] July 9–12, 2023 500 (LV) ± 4.4% 46% 43% – 11%
East Carolina University[107] June 21–24, 2023 805 (RV) ± 4.0% 45% 44% 4% 7%

Sherrod Brown vs. Frank LaRose

Poll source Date(s)
administered 		Sample
size[a] 		Margin
of error 		Sherrod
Brown (D) 		Frank
LaRose (R) 		Other Undecided
Mainstreet Research/
Florida Atlantic University[93] 		March 13–15, 2024 818 (RV) ± 3.4% 48% 37% – 15%
East Carolina University[94] March 8–11, 2024 1,298 (LV) ± 3.2% 45% 40% 4% 12%
SurveyUSA[95][A] March 6–11, 2024 533 (LV) ± 3.3% 44% 36% – 19%
Emerson College[96] March 7–10, 2024 1,300 (RV) ± 2.6% 39% 33% 7% 21%
Emerson College[99] January 23–25, 2024 1844 (RV) ± 2.3% 39% 37% 6% 18%
Emerson/WJW-TV[104] November 10–13, 2023 1,000 (RV) ± 3.0% 41% 36% – 24%
Data for Progress (D)[105] October 31 – November 2, 2023 597 (LV) ± 4.0% 46% 46% – 8%
Ohio Northern University[34] October 16–19, 2023 668 (RV) ± 3.8% 44% 31% 0% 25%
Emerson College[167] October 1–3, 2023 438 (RV) ± 4.5% 38% 39% – 23%
Ohio Northern University[35] July 17–26, 2023 675 (RV) ± 3.7% 45% 32% 0% 23%
Suffolk University[106] July 9–12, 2023 500 (LV) ± 4.4% 45% 45% – 10%
East Carolina University[107] June 21–24, 2023 805 (RV) ± 4.0% 44% 42% 4% 11%

Sherrod Brown vs. Joel Mutchler

Poll source Date(s)
administered 		Sample
size[a] 		Margin
of error 		Sherrod
Brown (D) 		Joel
Mutchler (R) 		Other Undecided
Data for Progress (D)[105] October 31 – November 2, 2023 597 (LV) ± 4.0% 48% 43% - 9%

Sherrod Brown vs. generic Republican

Poll source Date(s)
administered 		Sample
size[a] 		Margin
of error 		Sherrod
Brown (D) 		Generic
Republican 		Undecided
Causeway Solutions (R)[108][E] May 19–27, 2023 1639 (RV) ± 2.5% 39% 37% 24%

Results

[edit]
2024 United States Senate election in Ohio[168]
Party Candidate Votes % ±%
Republican Bernie Moreno 2,857,383 50.09% +3.51%
Democratic Sherrod Brown (incumbent) 2,650,949 46.47% −6.93%
Libertarian Don Kissick 195,648 3.43% +3.43%
Write-in 640 0.01% -0.01%
Total votes 5,704,620 100.00%
Turnout 69.91% +15.26
Republican gain from Democratic

By county

[edit]
County[169] Bernie Moreno
Republican 		Sherrod Brown
Democratic 		Various candidates
Other parties 		Margin Total
# % # % # % # %
Adams 9,325 76.60% 2,447 20.10% 401 3.29% 6,878 56.50% 12,173
Allen 30,208 65.69% 14,120 30.70% 1,660 3.61% 16,088 34.99% 45,988
Ashland 17,894 68.32% 7,280 27.79% 1,019 3.89% 10,614 40.53% 26,193
Ashtabula 24,117 56.50% 16,785 39.33% 1,780 4.17% 7,332 17.17% 42,682
Athens 10,013 39.06% 14,696 57.32% 928 3.62% −4,683 −18.26% 25,637
Auglaize 19,363 76.02% 5,248 20.60% 861 3.38% 14,115 55.42% 25,472
Belmont 20,146 65.51% 9,476 30.82% 1,129 3.67% 10,670 34.69% 30,751
Brown 15,622 74.46% 4,610 21.97% 748 3.57% 11,012 52.49% 20,980
Butler 104,952 57.91% 69,734 38.48% 6,557 3.62% 35,218 19.43% 181,243
Carroll 9,543 69.87% 3,545 25.95% 571 4.18% 5,998 43.92% 13,659
Champaign 13,917 68.68% 5,547 27.37% 801 3.95% 8,370 41.31% 20,265
Clark 36,611 58.45% 23,630 37.73% 2,393 3.82% 12,981 20.72% 62,634
Clermont 70,592 62.43% 37,825 33.45% 4,649 4.11% 32,767 28.98% 113,066
Clinton 14,513 70.61% 5,154 25.08% 887 4.32% 9,359 45.53% 20,554
Columbiana 31,757 66.72% 13,902 29.21% 1,935 4.07% 17,855 37.51% 47,594
Coshocton 11,011 68.03% 4,457 27.54% 717 4.43% 6,554 40.49% 16,185
Crawford 13,938 69.24% 5,400 26.82% 793 3.94% 8,538 42.42% 20,131
Cuyahoga 170,671 30.00% 384,042 67.49% 14,352 2.52% −213,371 −37.49% 569,065
Darke 20,615 76.75% 5,359 19.95% 886 3.30% 15,256 56.80% 26,860
Defiance 12,028 64.22% 5,880 31.39% 822 4.39% 6,148 32.83% 18,730
Delaware 65,715 49.41% 63,697 47.89% 3,582 2.69% 2,018 1.52% 132,994
Erie 19,654 50.00% 18,117 46.09% 1,536 3.91% 1,537 3.91% 39,307
Fairfield 47,342 56.45% 33,697 40.18% 2,819 3.36% 13,645 16.27% 83,858
Fayette 8,712 70.30% 3,207 25.88% 474 3.82% 5,505 44.42% 12,393
Franklin 186,441 31.65% 385,850 65.50% 16,790 2.85% −199,409 −33.85% 589,081
Fulton 14,450 65.44% 6,764 30.63% 868 3.93% 7,686 34.81% 22,082
Gallia 9,316 73.22% 2,912 22.89% 496 3.90% 6,404 50.33% 12,724
Geauga 30,987 56.72% 22,315 40.85% 1,330 2.43% 8,672 15.87% 54,632
Greene 49,477 55.06% 37,327 41.54% 3,052 3.40% 12,150 13.52% 89,856
Guernsey 11,836 68.07% 4,839 27.83% 712 4.10% 6,997 40.24% 17,387
Hamilton 158,523 38.88% 235,825 57.84% 13,394 3.28% −77,302 −18.96% 407,742
Hancock 23,803 63.44% 12,170 32.44% 1,547 4.12% 11,633 31.00% 37,520
Hardin 8,839 69.10% 3,367 26.32% 585 4.57% 5,472 42.78% 12,791
Harrison 4,891 69.20% 1,857 26.27% 320 4.53% 3,034 42.93% 7,068
Henry 9,685 66.32% 4,356 29.83% 562 3.85% 5,329 36.49% 14,603
Highland 14,884 75.45% 4,152 21.05% 692 3.51% 10,732 54.40% 19,728
Hocking 8,599 64.67% 4,125 31.02% 572 4.30% 4,474 33.65% 13,296
Holmes 9,699 79.52% 2,117 17.36% 381 3.12% 7,582 62.16% 12,197
Huron 17,090 63.69% 8,452 31.50% 1,289 4.80% 8,638 32.19% 26,831
Jackson 10,299 72.95% 3,346 23.70% 472 3.34% 6,953 49.25% 14,117
Jefferson 19,795 64.25% 9,819 31.87% 1,196 3.88% 9,976 32.38% 30,810
Knox 21,363 66.84% 9,537 29.84% 1,061 3.32% 11,826 37.00% 31,961
Lake 64,089 50.76% 58,125 46.04% 4,045 3.20% 5,964 4.72% 126,259
Lawrence 18,077 68.66% 7,192 27.32% 1,060 4.03% 10,885 41.34% 26,329
Licking 55,320 58.66% 35,373 37.51% 3,616 3.83% 19,947 21.15% 94,309
Logan 16,763 71.77% 5,614 24.03% 981 4.20% 11,149 47.74% 23,358
Lorain 71,759 45.95% 79,307 50.78% 5,115 3.28% −7,548 −4.83% 156,181
Lucas 72,544 38.38% 107,783 57.02% 8,703 4.60% −35,239 −18.64% 189,030
Madison 13,347 65.24% 6,322 30.90% 789 3.86% 7,025 34.34% 20,458
Mahoning 54,067 48.49% 53,847 48.29% 3,585 3.22% 220 0.20% 111,499
Marion 16,763 62.59% 8,824 32.95% 1,195 4.46% 7,939 29.64% 26,782
Medina 58,915 55.92% 43,173 40.98% 3,262 3.10% 15,742 14.94% 105,350
Meigs 7,385 72.30% 2,456 24.04% 374 3.66% 4,929 48.26% 10,215
Mercer 18,432 78.54% 4,337 18.48% 1,057 4.50% 14,095 60.06% 23,826
Miami 39,225 66.72% 17,525 29.81% 2,039 3.47% 21,700 36.91% 58,789
Monroe 4,715 70.89% 1,725 25.94% 211 3.17% 2,990 44.95% 6,651
Montgomery 112,324 44.58% 130,464 51.78% 9,146 3.63% −18,140 −7.20% 251,934
Morgan 4,587 69.07% 1,802 27.13% 252 3.79% 2,785 41.94% 6,641
Morrow 13,197 71.20% 4,610 24.87% 727 3.92% 8,587 46.33% 18,534
Muskingum 25,408 65.25% 11,852 30.44% 1,680 4.31% 13,556 34.81% 38,940
Noble 4,555 75.00% 1,316 21.67% 202 3.33% 3,239 53.33% 6,073
Ottawa 13,317 56.19% 9,460 39.92% 921 3.89% 3,857 16.27% 23,698
Paulding 6,678 72.67% 2,056 22.37% 456 4.96% 4,622 50.30% 9,190
Perry 11,626 69.32% 4,492 26.78% 654 3.90% 7,134 42.54% 16,772
Pickaway 19,613 67.51% 8,452 29.09% 986 3.39% 11,161 38.42% 29,051
Pike 8,264 68.62% 3,364 27.93% 415 3.45% 4,900 40.69% 12,043
Portage 42,163 51.27% 37,082 45.09% 3,000 3.65% 5,081 6.18% 82,245
Preble 15,806 73.41% 4,940 22.94% 785 3.65% 10,866 50.47% 21,531
Putnam 15,582 79.08% 3,573 18.13% 549 2.79% 12,009 60.95% 19,704
Richland 37,368 64.71% 18,488 32.02% 1,891 3.27% 18,880 32.69% 57,747
Ross 20,402 62.42% 11,125 34.03% 1,160 3.55% 9,277 28.39% 32,687
Sandusky 16,951 57.94% 10,782 36.86% 1,522 5.20% 6,169 21.08% 29,255
Scioto 20,509 67.20% 8,935 29.28% 1,075 3.52% 11,574 37.92% 30,519
Seneca 15,420 61.45% 8,509 33.91% 1,163 4.63% 6,911 27.54% 25,092
Shelby 19,275 76.88% 4,927 19.65% 868 3.46% 14,348 57.23% 25,070
Stark 99,365 54.67% 75,434 41.51% 6,941 3.82% 23,931 13.16% 181,740
Summit 111,573 41.13% 150,517 55.49% 9,174 3.38% −38,944 −14.36% 271,264
Trumbull 48,755 50.97% 43,178 45.14% 3,722 3.89% 5,577 5.83% 95,655
Tuscarawas 27,395 64.25% 13,501 31.67% 1,740 4.08% 13,894 32.58% 42,636
Union 21,926 59.32% 13,719 37.12% 1,315 3.56% 8,207 22.20% 36,960
Van Wert 10,826 74.12% 3,204 21.93% 577 3.95% 7,622 52.19% 14,607
Vinton 4,018 71.76% 1,360 24.29% 221 3.95% 2,658 47.47% 5,599
Warren 84,796 61.06% 49,350 35.54% 4,726 3.40% 35,446 25.52% 138,872
Washington 19,865 65.78% 9,275 30.71% 1,061 3.51% 10,590 35.07% 30,201
Wayne 33,532 63.57% 17,313 32.82% 1,900 3.60% 16,219 30.75% 52,745
Williams 12,036 66.80% 5,043 27.99% 940 5.22% 6,993 38.81% 18,019
Wood 32,801 49.10% 31,242 46.77% 2,758 4.13% 1,559 2.33% 66,801
Wyandot 7,813 69.29% 2,996 26.57% 467 4.14% 4,817 42.72% 11,276
Totals 2,857,383 50.09% 2,650,949 46.47% 196,288 3.44% 206,434 3.62% 5,704,620

Counties that flipped from Democratic to Republican

By congressional district

[edit]

Moreno won 9 of 15 congressional districts, with the remaining six going to Brown, including one that elected a Republican.[170]

District Brown Moreno Representative
1st 53.6% 43.1% Greg Landsman
2nd 28.8% 67.4% Brad Wenstrup (118th Congress)
David Taylor (119th Congress)
3rd 71.1% 26.4% Joyce Beatty
4th 34.0% 62.5% Jim Jordan
5th 38.2% 58.1% Bob Latta
6th 36.6% 59.7% Michael Rulli
7th 47.7% 49.4% Max Miller
8th 39.7% 56.8% Warren Davidson
9th 48.1% 47.4% Marcy Kaptur
10th 48.7% 47.7% Mike Turner
11th 78.4% 19.2% Shontel Brown
12th 36.1% 60.3% Troy Balderson
13th 52.1% 44.5% Emilia Sykes
14th 44.2% 52.3% David Joyce
15th 47.5% 49.1% Mike Carey

Notes

[edit]
  1. ^ a b c d e f g Key:
    A – all adults
    RV – registered voters
    LV – likely voters
    V – unclear
  2. ^ A subset of poll respondents who said they planned to vote in the Democratic primary
  3. ^ $9,000,000 of this total was self-funded by Dolan
  4. ^ $4,200,000 of this total was self-funded by Moreno
  5. ^ $250,000 of this total was self-funded by LaRose
  6. ^ Joel Mutchler with 1%
  7. ^ "Someone else" with 29%; Joel Mutchler with 3%
  8. ^ Joel Mutchler with 0%
  9. ^ A subset of poll respondents who said they planned to vote in the Republican primary
  10. ^ $4,500,838 of this total was self-funded by Moreno
  11. ^ Calculated by taking the difference of 100% and all other candidates combined.
  12. ^ "Blank/Null/Won't vote" with 2%; "Other" with 1%
  13. ^ With voters who lean towards a given candidate
  14. ^ Kissick (L) with 3%;"Other" with <1%
  15. ^ Kissick (L) with 2%; "Other" with 1%
  16. ^ "Did not vote for Senator" with 1%
  17. ^ "Wouldn't Vote" with 1%
  18. ^ "Wouldn't Vote" with 1%
  19. ^ "Another party's candidate" with 1%
  20. ^ "Won't Vote" with 5%

Partisan clients

  1. ^ a b c d Poll sponsored by the Ohio Northern University Institute for Civics and Public Policy
  2. ^ a b Poll sponsored by The Center for Election Science
  3. ^ a b c Poll sponsored by Moreno's campaign
  4. ^ Poll sponsored by Buckeye Values PAC, which supports Moreno
  5. ^ a b Poll sponsored by Leadership for Ohio Fund, which supports LaRose
  6. ^ Poll sponsored by The Hill
  7. ^ Poll sponsored by Senate Opportunity Fund, a super PAC that primarily supports Republican candidates in U.S. Senate races
  8. ^ Poll sponsored by the Napolitan Institute
  9. ^ Poll sponsored by On Point Politics and Red Eagle Politics, the latter of which supports Republican candidates
  10. ^ Poll sponsored by NumbersUSA, a conservative group
  11. ^ Poll sponsored by AARP
  12. ^ Poll sponsored by American Fuel and Petrochemical Manufacturers, a group that supports Republicans.
  13. ^ Poll sponsored by WGW-TV

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Official campaign websites

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