Indiana Senate Profile
Senator Evan Bayh’s decision not to seek re-election upended the race and complicated the chances of keeping the seat in Democratic hands. Representative Brad Ellsworth, a former sheriff from Evansville, is the Democratic nominee. Former Senator Dan Coats, who has more recently been a Washington lobbyist, is the Republican candidate. As Mr. Coats and Mr. Ellsworth go head-to-head in this conservative-leaning state, Democrats are hoping to capitalize on the lobbying background of Mr. Coats, while Republicans are trying to seize upon the record that Mr. Ellsworth has established in Congress, most recently his support of President Obama’s health care plan.
— Jeff Zeleny#2010: Tweets From The Times
Incumbent Voting Record
Evan Bayh (D) retiring from office.
| Major Bills | Incumbent Vote | All Democrats |
| HEALTH CARE BILL | Yes | Yes: 58 No: 0 |
| STIMULUS PACKAGE | Yes | Yes: 56 No: 0 |
| TARP | Yes | Yes: 39 No: 9 |
Campaign Finances
|
Brad Ellsworth
as of Nov. 22
|
Daniel R. Coats
as of Oct. 13
|
|||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Raised | $2,276,560 | $3,988,880 | ||||||||||||
| Spent | $2,583,600 | $3,384,410 | ||||||||||||
| Cash On Hand | $14,166 | $1,024,120 | ||||||||||||
| Independent expenditures | ||||||||||||||
| For | $12 | $33,713 | ||||||||||||
| Against | $53,673 | $17,930 | ||||||||||||
| Contributors | ||||||||||||||
|
Top Five Industries
|
|
|||||||||||||
|
Top Five Contributors
|
|
|||||||||||||
Previous Election Results
| Race | ||
|---|---|---|
| Loading Data |
100% reporting May 4 Primary Results
| Republican | Daniel R. Coats | 217,116 | 39% | |
| Marlin A. Stutzman | 160,943 | 29% | ||
| John Nathan Hostettler | 124,401 | 23% | ||
| Don Bates Jr. | 24,775 | 5% | ||
| Richard Behney | 23,119 | 4% |
Source: Preliminary vote totals from The Associated Press
FiveThirtyEight Forecast
| Ellsworth | Coats | |
|---|---|---|
|
Projected Vote
Margin of Error: ± 6.3%
|
39.0% | 58.0% |
|
Chance of Winning Seat
|
0.0%
|
100.0%
|
State Demographics
| Race and ethnicity | State | U.S. | |
|---|---|---|---|
| White | 83.3% |
|
65.9% |
| Black | 8.5% |
|
12.1% |
| Hispanic | 5.0% |
|
15.1% |
| Asian | 1.3% |
|
4.3% |
| Native American | 0.2% |
|
0.7% |
| Income | State | U.S. | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Median income | $48,675 |
|
$52,175 |
| Poverty rate | 12.7% |
|
9.6% |
| Below $25,000 | 23.8% |
|
23.2% |
| $25,000-$50,000 | 27.4% |
|
24.8% |
| $50,000-$100,000 | 33.3% |
|
31.2% |
| $100,000-$200,000 | 13.2% |
|
16.6% |
| $200,000 or more | 2.3% |
|
4.2% |
| Education | State | U.S. | |
|---|---|---|---|
| High school graduate | 85.7% |
|
84.5% |
| Bachelor's degree or higher | 22.3% |
|
27.4% |
| Age | State | U.S. | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Under 18 | 25.0% |
|
24.5% |
| 65 and older | 12.6% |
|
12.6% |
Source: Census Bureau
